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NHC Atlantic |
| Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
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000
ABNT20 KNHC 181107
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Sixteen, located over the central Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen are issued
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Sixteen are issued under WMO header
WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.
$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen (AT1/AL162019)
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...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THE SYSTEM STRONGER... ...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
As of 10:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 18
the center of Sixteen was located near 25.9, -90.0
with movement NE at 22 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Public Advisory Number 5
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Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019
000
WTNT31 KNHC 181449
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THE SYSTEM STRONGER...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 90.0W
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM SSW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 395 MI...635 KM SW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Yankeetown Florida
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Indian Pass Florida to Clearwater Beach Florida
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning.
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the disturbance was centered near
latitude 25.9 North, longitude 90.0 West. The system is moving
toward the northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Sunday, followed by a turn toward
the east-northeast by early Monday. On the forecast track, the
system will approach the northern Gulf Coast later today and tonight
and move inland across portions of the southeastern United States on
Saturday and Sunday. The system is forecast to move offshore of the
coast of North Carolina by late Sunday.
Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected later today, with
weakening forecast after the system moves inland.
The disturbance is expected to become a tropical or subtropical
storm later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km),
mainly to the northeast and east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the NOAA
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Indian Pass FL to Chassahowitzka FL...3 to 5 ft
Chassahowitzka to Clearwater Beach FL...2 to 4 ft
Tampa Bay...1 to 3 ft
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within the warning area by later today and this evening, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
Gale-force winds are likely along portions of the Atlantic coast
of the southeastern United States by Saturday.
RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches this weekend from the central Gulf
Coast and northern and central Florida to the eastern Carolinas,
with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches.
TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible tonight and early Saturday
near the Florida Gulf Coast from the central panhandle to the
western peninsula.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Forecast Advisory Number 5
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Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019
000
WTNT21 KNHC 181446
TCMAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019
1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO YANKEETOWN FLORIDA
* GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS FLORIDA TO CLEARWATER BEACH FLORIDA
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN
THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 90.0W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 19 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE 60SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N 90.0W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 91.2W
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 27.8N 88.0W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 70SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 29.9N 85.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.2N 82.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.4N 78.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.0N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 37.0N 69.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N 90.0W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/1800Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Forecast Discussion Number 5
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Issued at 1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019
000
WTNT41 KNHC 181455
TCDAT1
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162019
1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019
The satellite presentation of the system features an area of very
deep convection with cloud tops colder than -80C within the eastern
part of a rather broad and elongated surface circulation seen in
visible satellite imagery and data from an Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft found
flight-level winds as high as 72 kt and SFMR winds of 45-50 kt
southeast of the ill-defined center, and based on these data the
initial intensity is set to 50 kt. The NOAA aircraft also measured a
pressure of around 1001 mb. While the cyclone has deepened, the
circulation is still quite elongated and not well defined, so the
system is maintained as a Potential Tropical Cyclone for now.
The global models continue to indicate that the circulation will
consolidate and the system will strengthen some during the next 12
hours or so, as the low-level circulation will be overtaken by an
upper-level trough currently situated over southwest Louisiana. The
system is still expected to become a tropical or subtropical storm
later today, with the exact phase dependent on the timing of the
circulation improving and the interaction with the upper trough.
Once the system moves inland, it should become extratropical by 36
hours and slowly weaken once it moves offshore of the Carolinas by
72-96 hours before dissipating by day 5. The new NHC intensity
forecast is adjusted upward from the previous one through 24 hours
based on the initial intensity and allows for the possibility of at
least some additional strengthening later today.
The initial motion is a somewhat uncertain 055/19 given the lack of
a well-defined center. The track model guidance remains in good
agreement on the system moving quickly northeastward toward the
northeastern Gulf Coast during the next 24 hours as it interacts
with the upper trough. After moving inland, a northeastward motion
is forecast to continue until after 48 hours, when an east-
northeastward motion is expected, which will take the circulation
offshore over the Atlantic by 72 hours. The new NHC track forecast
is similar to, but a bit to the south of the previous one and is
close to the various track consensus aids.
Regardless of the exact evolution of the system, portions of the
northeastern coast of the Gulf of Mexico will experience strong
winds, locally heavy rains, and storm surge later today and
Saturday. Similar impacts are expected across portions of the
Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States Saturday and
Sunday.
Key Messages:
1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation of
up to 5 feet above ground level beginning later today along the
Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach, where a
Storm Surge Warning is in effect. Residents in these areas should
follow advice given by local officials.
2. Tropical storm force winds are likely later today and tonight
along portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast, where tropical
storm warnings are in effect. Regardless of the exact track and
intensity of the system, these winds will cover a large area,
especially east of the center.
3. Isolated flash flooding is possible along the central and
eastern Gulf Coast and the southeast United States coast through
Saturday night.
4. Wind and coastal flooding hazards along the U.S. East Coast will
be covered by non-tropical watches and warnings issued by local NWS
offices, since the system is expected to lose any tropical
characteristics after it moves inland along the Gulf Coast.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 18/1500Z 25.9N 90.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 19/0000Z 27.8N 88.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
24H 19/1200Z 29.9N 85.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 20/0000Z 32.2N 82.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H 20/1200Z 34.4N 78.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 21/1200Z 37.0N 71.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 22/1200Z 37.0N 69.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Brennan
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
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Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019
000
FONT11 KNHC 181449
PWSAT1
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162019
1500 UTC FRI OCT 18 2019
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) X(15) X(15)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 11(11) 23(34) X(34) X(34)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 2(19) X(19) X(19)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 17(17) 13(30) X(30) X(30)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) 18(39) X(39) X(39)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 15(38) X(38) X(38)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 26(27) 6(33) X(33) X(33)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 5(41) X(41) X(41)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 20(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25)
FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 31(33) 3(36) X(36) X(36)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 36(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 31(36) 1(37) X(37) X(37)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 28(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 21(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 2( 2) 25(27) 12(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 5( 5) 22(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 8( 8) 36(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 8( 8) 15(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X 6( 6) 21(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X 11(11) 17(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
THE VILLAGES 34 X 7( 7) 9(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PATRICK AFB 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FT MYERS FL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TAMPA FL 34 X 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 3 27(30) 6(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 42(42) 27(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST MARKS FL 34 1 45(46) 23(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
ST MARKS FL 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
APALACHICOLA 34 17 68(85) 2(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
APALACHICOLA 50 X 15(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
APALACHICOLA 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 30 54(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X 12(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 18 66(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X 16(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 14 41(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WHITING FLD FL 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
PENSACOLA FL 34 1 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 82 12(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 4 21(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MOBILE AL 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
|
Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Graphics
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5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 14:50:15 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 14:50:15 GMT
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
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Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 09:45:03 GMT
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Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
|
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Fri, 18 Oct 2019 14:51:26 GMT
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Local Statement for Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Issued at 516 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019
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Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL
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Issued at 517 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 /417 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019/
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Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA
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Issued at 513 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019
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Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL
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Issued at 519 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2019 |
