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Atlantic Tropical Storm Activity
...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... As of 4:00 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 the center of Cristobal was located near 21.4, -89.7 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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June 2020
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Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

000
ABNT20 KNHC 051751
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Cristobal, centered over the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... As of 4:00 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 the center of Cristobal was located near 21.4, -89.7 with movement N at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020

000
WTNT33 KNHC 052049
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
400 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020
 
...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 89.7W
ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
A Storm Surge Warning has been issued for areas outside the 
Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the mouth of 
the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi, including Lake
Borgne.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the northern Gulf of
Mexico coast from east of Morgan City, Louisiana to the
Okaloosa/Walton County Florida line.
 
The Storm Surge Watch has been extended west of Grand Isle to east
of Morgan City Louisiana.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Borgne
 
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Arepika Florida
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Mississippi
River
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for
* Punta Herrero to Rio Lagartos Mexico
* East of Morgan City, Louisiana to the Okaloosa/Walton County
Florida line
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to Morgan City
 
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening 
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, 
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction 
of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm 
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.  This is a 
life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these areas 
should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from 
rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.  
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local 
officials.
 
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within the next 36 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 89.7 West. Cristobal is
moving toward the north near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.  On the
forecast track, the center of Cristobal will move over the central 
Gulf of Mexico on Saturday, and be near the northern Gulf of 
Mexico coast on Sunday.  Cristobal's center is then forecast to move 
inland across Louisiana late Sunday and Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Weakening 
will begin once Cristobal moves inland late Sunday and Monday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km) 
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
 
Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs MS including Lake
Borgne...3-5 ft
Ocean Springs MS to Indian Pass FL including Mobile Bay and 
Pensacola Bay...1-3 ft
Indian Pass FL to Aripeka FL...2-4 ft
Aripeka FL to Marco Island FL including Tampa Bay...1-3 ft
Morgan City LA to the Mouth of the Mississippi River...2-4 ft
 
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds and will likely extend along the coast well to the
east of the center.  Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances.  For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.
 
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue in portions
of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the Yucatan Peninsula
during the next few hours.  Tropical storm conditions are expected
within the Tropical Storm Warning area along the northern Gulf
Coast beginning late Saturday night.  Tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area on Sunday.
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations:
 
Through Wednesday morning, for portions of the eastern and central
Gulf Coast and the lower Mississippi Valley, rainfall accumulations
of 4 to 8 inches, with local amounts to 12 inches, are forecast.
Isolated significant river flooding is possible along the central
Gulf Coast.  Farther north across the mid-Mississippi Valley,
rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches, with local amounts to 6 inches,
are expected.  This degree of rainfall is expected to lead to flash
flooding, and widespread flooding on smaller streams is possible 
across the mid-Mississippi Valley.
 
Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, and Yucatan...Additional 4
to 6 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches.
 
Belize and the Mexican states of Tabasco and Oaxaca...Additional 4
to 6 inches, isolated storm totals of 12 inches.
 
Southern Guatemala, coastal portions of Chiapas, and El
Salvador...Additional 4 to 6 inches, isolated storm total amounts of
35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.
 
Southern parts of Honduras...Additional 3 to 4 inches, isolated 8
inches.
 
Rainfall across Southeast Mexico and northern Central America would
continue the risk of life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Cristobal will affect portions of the
northern and eastern Gulf coast during the next few days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch/Berg
 
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020

000
WTNT23 KNHC 052049
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
2100 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OUTSIDE THE 
HURRICANE AND STORM DAMAGE RISK REDUCTION SYSTEM FROM THE MOUTH OF 
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING LAKE
BORGNE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO COAST FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA TO THE
OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY FLORIDA LINE.
 
THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WEST OF GRAND ISLE TO EAST
OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO OCEAN SPRINGS MISSISSIPPI
* LAKE BORGNE
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INDIAN PASS TO AREPIKA FLORIDA
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
* PUNTA HERRERO TO RIO LAGARTOS MEXICO
* EAST OF MORGAN CITY...LOUISIANA TO THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY
FLORIDA LINE
* LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  89.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......210NE 210SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 270SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  89.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  89.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.9N  90.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 210SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.9N  90.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...220NE 220SE   0SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.7N  90.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...240NE 210SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 28.5N  90.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 30.4N  91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 32.8N  92.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 39.5N  91.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 50.0N  85.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  89.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 06/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020

000
WTNT43 KNHC 052051
TCDAT3
 
Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
400 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2020
 
The center of the tropical cyclone has moved into the Gulf of 
Mexico to the north of the Yucatan Peninsula.  Earlier 
scatterometer and surface synoptic data indicated that the system 
had already re-strengthened into a tropical storm.  The system has 
been exhibiting fairly well-defined convective banding over the 
northern and eastern portions of the circulation.  However, the 
central convection is minimal at this time and upper-level outflow 
is being restricted over the southwestern quadrant due to a trough 
over the Bay of Campeche.  The current intensity is kept at 35 kt in 
agreement with the earlier observations.  An Air Force Reserve 
Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the storm in a 
few hours, which should provide a good estimate of Cristobal's 
strength.  Although the cyclone will be traversing fairly warm 
waters during the next couple of days, dry mid-level air and some 
southwesterly shear is expected to limit intensification.  The 
official intensity forecast is about the same as the previous ones 
and close to the model consensus.

Cristobal has moved a little faster over the past several hours, and 
the current motion is estimated to be northward at 11 kt.  For the 
next couple of days, the cyclone should continue to move generally 
northward through a weakness between subtropical high pressure 
areas.  A bend toward the north-northwest is forecast just after 
landfall on the northern Gulf Coast due to the slight building of a 
ridge to the northeast of Cristobal.

The size of the wind field and timing of the new track forecast 
require the issuance of storm surge and tropical storm warnings for 
a portion of the northern Gulf of Mexico coast at this time.
 
Key Messages:

1. Damaging and deadly flooding was already occurring in portions of 
Mexico and Central America.  Cristobal is expected to produce 
additional extreme rainfall amounts through the end of the week. The 
heaviest additional rainfall is expected over far southern Mexico 
and portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, while also extending along 
the Pacific coast from Chiapas to Guatemala and El Salvador. This 
rainfall could cause widespread life-threatening flash floods and 
mudslides. Refer to products from your local weather office for more 
information.

2. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge outside of the 
Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System from the Mouth of 
the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, and a Storm 
Surge Warning has been issued for those areas.  Life-threatening 
storm surge remains possible along the Florida Big Bend and in other 
portions of southern and southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge 
Watch is in effect. Residents in these locations should follow 
advice given by local emergency officials. 

3. Tropical storm force winds are expected by late Saturday night 
along the northern Gulf Coast from southeastern Louisiana to the 
western Florida Panhandle, including metropolitan New Orleans, and 
a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for this area. These winds 
will arrive well in advance of and extend well east of Cristobals 
center.

4. Heavy rainfall will spread into portions of the Gulf Coast, from 
east Texas to Florida this weekend into early next week, with areas 
of flash flooding. Significant flooding will be possible on smaller 
tributaries, especially where heavier rainfall occurs over portions 
of Louisiana and Mississippi.  

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/2100Z 21.4N  89.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  06/0600Z 22.9N  90.0W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  06/1800Z 24.9N  90.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  07/0600Z 26.7N  90.1W   50 KT  60 MPH
 48H  07/1800Z 28.5N  90.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 60H  08/0600Z 30.4N  91.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...INLAND
 72H  08/1800Z 32.8N  92.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 96H  09/1800Z 39.5N  91.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H  10/1800Z 50.0N  85.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020

000
FONT13 KNHC 052050
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020               
2100 UTC FRI JUN 05 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   5(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   1(16)   X(16)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  11(17)   1(18)   X(18)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   3( 3)  16(19)   6(25)   6(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  20(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  15(18)  27(45)   X(45)   X(45)
GULFPORT MS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
STENNIS MS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)  28(49)   1(50)   X(50)
STENNIS MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)  11(11)  28(39)  16(55)   1(56)   X(56)
BURAS LA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BURAS LA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X  16(16)  48(64)   9(73)   3(76)   X(76)   X(76)
GFMX 280N 890W 50  X   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
GFMX 280N 890W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  29(32)   1(33)   X(33)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  24(27)  25(52)   1(53)   X(53)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   X(10)   X(10)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X  10(10)  39(49)  10(59)   4(63)   1(64)   X(64)
GFMX 280N 910W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   2(16)   X(16)   X(16)
GFMX 280N 910W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)  31(44)   1(45)   X(45)
BATON ROUGE LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
BATON ROUGE LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)  24(45)   1(46)   X(46)
MORGAN CITY LA 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
MORGAN CITY LA 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  25(27)   1(28)   X(28)
ALEXANDRIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  25(33)   1(34)   X(34)
LAFAYETTE LA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)  25(35)   X(35)   X(35)
NEW IBERIA LA  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
NEW IBERIA LA  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   6(15)   5(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   1(20)   X(20)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)  16(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)  12(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MERIDA MX      34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 
COZUMEL MX     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   8(16)  10(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
KEESLER AB     34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  20(31)  19(50)   X(50)   X(50)
KEESLER AB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
Tropical Storm Cristobal 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 05 Jun 2020 20:51:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Cristobal 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Jun 2020 20:51:41 GMT
Tropical Storm Cristobal Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Fri, 05 Jun 2020 15:50:16 GMT
Tropical Storm Cristobal Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Fri, 05 Jun 2020 20:58:08 GMT
Issued at 1110 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020
Issued at 1118 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020 /1018 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020/
Issued at 1028 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
Issued at 1058 AM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020
Issued at 359 PM CDT Fri Jun 5 2020